(EBook PDF) Only The Dead The Persistence Of War In The Modern Age 1st Edition by Bear Braumoeller 019084955X 9780190849559 full chapters

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ISBN-10 :  019084955X 

ISBN-13 :  9780190849559

Author:  Bear Braumoeller 

The idea that war is going out of style has become the conventional wisdom in recent years. But in Only the Dead, award-winning author Bear Braumoeller demonstrates that it shouldn’t have. With a rare combination of historical expertise, statistical acumen, and accessible prose, Braumoeller shows that the evidence simply doesn’t support the decline-of-war thesis propounded by scholars like Steven Pinker. He argues that the key to understanding trends in warfare lies, not in the spread of humanitarian values, but rather in the formation of international orders–sets of expectations about behavior that allow countries to work in concert, as they did in the Concert of Europe and have done in the postwar Western liberal order. With a nod toward the American sociologist Charles Tilly, who argued that “war made the state and the state made war,” Braumoeller shows argues that the same is true of international orders: while they reduce conflict within their borders, they can also clash violently with one another, as the Western and communist orders did throughout the Cold War.

Only The Dead: The Persistence Of War In The Modern Age 1st Table of contents:

I Only the Dead
1 Introduction
The Spread of Peace and the Spread of War
The Arguments
Evaluating the Arguments
War, Chance, and Numbers
Explaining Systemic Trends in Warfare
II Reasons for Skepticism
2 Reasons for Skepticism, Part I: Data
Trends in Conflict Initiation
The “Long Peace”
Attitudes About War
The Pacifying Effects of Civilization
Trends in Battle Deaths
The Pitfalls of Per Capita
War and Peace
Conclusion
3 Reasons for Skepticism, Part II: Explanation
The Complexity of International Behavior
Dispositions and Situations
Strategic Interaction
Structure and Anarchy
The Spread of Enlightenment Humanism
The Dark Side of the Enlightenment
Just War and Perpetual Peace
The Study of WEIRD People
The Role of Chance
Randomness in Thick-Tailed Distributions
Conclusion
III What the Data Tell Us
4 Is International Conflict Going out of Style?
Three Measures of Warfare
Measuring International Conflict
Measuring the Rate of Conflict Initiation
Trends in the Rate of Conflict Initiation
Interpretation
But But But…
Are the Data Reliable?
What About Unreciprocated Uses of Force?
What About Other Kinds of International Wars?
What About…?
Conclusion
5 Is International Conflict Getting Less Deadly?
Measuring the Deadliness of War
What We Already Know: Wars Got Deadlier 250 Years Ago
Wars Haven’t Gotten Less Intense Since Then
Wars Haven’t Gotten Less Severe, Either
War Prevalence Has Changed…
But the Danger of Escalation Hasn’t Changed
And That’s What Really Matters
Caveat: Militaries Don’t Keep Up With Population Growth
Interpretation
Conclusion
6 Are the Causes of International Conflict Becoming Less Potent?
The Potency of the Causes of War
Measuring Potency
Testing
Interpretation
Conclusion
IV Making Sense of the Data
7 International Order
International Order
What Is Order?
The Sources of Legitimacy
The Role of Human Nature
Order and the Sources of Systemic Conflict
Issues and War
The Impact of Order
The Calculus of War
Information Problems
The Impact of Order
Commitment Problems
The Impact of Order
Conclusion
8 History and International Order
Nineteenth-Century Europe
The Concert of Europe
The Mid-Nineteenth Century
The Bismarckian System
Weltpolitik
The Interwar Period
The Cold War
The Post–Cold War Period
Data and Analysis
Conclusion
V Conclusion
9 Conclusion and Implications
Overall Implications
War Isn’t Getting Less Deadly
International Orders Foster Peace…
…If We Want It
Order Also Produces War
Orders Fade
War Abides

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The Dead,The Persistence,War,Modern Age,Bear Braumoeller